电力行业2009年1～9月主要数据分析报告.pdf

1、 021-68761971 021-68761840 15 9 10.2% 6 1 9 1.4% 1 07 09 9 1.4% 1 8 0.4% 9 10.2% 8 8.2% 4 1 07 10 % % 07A 08H1 08Q1-3 08A 09Q1 09H1 09Q1-3 09E 10E 07A 08A 09H1 09Q1-3 09E 10E 14.8 11.7 9.7 5.4 -4.0 -2.2 1.4 4.0 5.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.7 5.0 2.6 3.1 5.1 3.8 6.4 5.0 5.0 2.7 2.6 2.6

2、 2.7 2.6 2.6 16.0 11.1 9.3 3.8 -8.2 -5.7 -1.7 1.7 3.3 76.5 75.3 73.6 73.4 73.7 72.2 17.6 12.1 10.4 4.1 -8.5 -6.0 -1.6 2.0 3.6 61.8 61.0 59.6 59.6 59.9 58.9 9.0 6.6 4.5 2.1 -7.7 -5.5 -2.7 -0.5 1.7 13.7 13.3 13.0 12.7 12.7 12.3 12.6 12.3 10.8 10.4 7.4 9.4 11.3 11.0 11.5 9.8 10.2 10.9 11.0 10.9 11.6 11

3、.2 16.5 12.9 12.8 9.9 9.9 11.7 12.0 12.5 11.1 11.8 12.8 12.9 12.8 13.6 GDP 11.9 10.4 9.9 9.0 6.1 7.1 7.7 8.8 10.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.6 -0.7 -0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 2009 10 16 2009 1 9 2009 1 9 2009 10 16 1 9 6.4% 11.3% 11.7% 08 2.7% 1.6% 9 5.7% 9.5% 8 7.3 4.7 2 07 09 07A 08H1 08 Q1-3 08A 09 Q1-3 09M8 09M9 08A 0

4、9Q1-3 14.8 11.7 9.7 5.4 1.4 8.2 10.2 100.0 100.0 2.0 2.0 A 15.3 11.1 9.3 4.5 0.0 7.4 9.7 88.2 87.1 2.3 2.0 5.7 5.0 2.6 3.1 6.4 10.6 8.1 2.6 2.7 -2.4 -0.1 16.0 11.1 9.3 3.8 -1.7 6.5 8.9 75.3 73.4 2.4 1.8 12.6 12.3 10.8 10.4 11.3 12.6 15.5 10.2 11.0 2.8 0.3 B 11.2 16.5 12.9 12.8 11.7 14.0 13.7 11.8 12

5、.9 -0.4 0.0 10.6 18.9 12.5 12.4 10.5 13.1 11.7 7.0 7.6 -1.4 -0.1 12.2 15.9 13.6 13.3 13.5 15.4 16.6 4.8 5.3 1.2 0.1 15.3 11.1 9.3 4.5 0.0 7.4 9.7 88.2 87.1 2.3 2.0 5.7 5.0 2.6 3.1 6.4 10.6 8.1 2.6 2.7 -2.4 -0.1 16.0 11.1 9.3 3.7 -1.8 6.4 8.8 74.3 72.4 2.4 1.7 1 9.0 6.6 4.5 2.1 -2.7 2.9 5.7 13.3 12.7

6、 2.7 0.3 2 17.6 12.1 10.4 4.1 -1.6 7.1 9.5 61.0 59.6 2.4 1.4 14.8 12.8 9.1 3.1 -2.5 3.0 5.6 5.0 4.7 2.7 0.1 17.2 11.8 9.8 4.0 -2.4 6.1 9.9 54.6 53.3 3.8 2.0 2 10.7 3.0 1.4 -0.9 -2.0 2.6 6.1 3.3 3.2 3.5 0.1 9 14.4 14.4 10.9 1.1 -6.3 1.3 4.5 8.0 7.8 3.2 0.3 12 12.0 5.9 5.1 1.7 -2.0 6.1 6.5 2.2 2.1 0.3

7、 0.0 13 13.6 11.0 8.7 5.3 4.5 10.9 14.5 5.7 5.8 3.7 0.2 14. 22.2 12.1 11.8 2.9 -2.7 11.7 16.4 11.1 11.1 4.7 0.5 15. 30.6 16.2 12.3 6.1 -7.9 -0.3 7.0 7.4 6.8 7.3 0.5 16. 21.2 15.1 11.0 6.5 -3.0 6.0 7.9 2.3 2.2 1.9 0.0 17. 16.7 13.6 12.5 8.7 -2.9 2.7 4.2 2.2 2.1 1.5 0.0 18. 20.6 15.1 13.7 9.2 2.0 12.6

8、 12.3 3.8 3.8 -0.4 0.0 11.9 7.7 7.4 3.0 0.7 8.6 4.5 14.7 14.3 -4.2 -0.6 1. 11.7 7.1 7.2 2.6 0.2 8.2 3.6 13.9 13.4 -4.6 -0.6 10.2 11.0 9.4 9.4 10.6 11.8 14.1 3.0 3.2 2.4 0.1 16.3 13.9 12.4 12.3 14.5 17.3 23.1 2.1 2.4 5.8 0.1 11.3 11.8 10.4 10.5 12.0 10.3 13.7 2.9 3.2 3.3 0.1 47.1 45.8 0.9 2 08 09 5.4

9、% 3.1% 3.8% 10.4% 12.8% 9.7% 2.6% 9.3% 12.9% 1.4% 6.4% -1.7% 11.3% 11.7% 10.8% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 08A 08M1-9 09M1-9 2009 1 9 2009 10 16 2 8% 4.1 1.1 1.1 3 08 09 4 08 09 9 3 0709 % 07A 08H1 08Q1-3 08A 09H1 09Q1-3 09M8 09M9 14.42 11.67 9.67 5.23 -2.24 1.40 8.22 10.24 2.02 0.00 100.0% 1

10、5.69 12.95 7.67 3.78 0.58 6.41 21.24 20.81 -0.43 10.57 6.4% 18.61 15.57 14.33 8.66 -5.13 -0.62 5.08 7.15 2.07 -3.09 5.7% 10.90 10.03 7.81 3.43 -5.16 -0.67 9.47 9.94 0.47 -0.30 4.0% 18.99 5.80 5.19 -2.88 -12.56 -10.00 -9.85 -2.20 7.65 -12.44 3.4% 29.80 21.89 15.32 4.46 -12.15 -4.89 8.72 14.70 5.98 4.

11、46 3.4% 13.87 10.96 14.63 7.45 7.51 7.25 10.42 10.98 0.56 0.74 2.5% 16.01 2.96 7.78 2.69 1.96 3.71 7.75 12.85 5.10 2.61 2.0% 14.44 17.28 16.61 10.57 -5.45 -2.85 0.18 5.19 5.01 -5.05 1.9% 13.94 11.76 9.09 0.25 -17.51 -8.59 5.70 26.85 21.15 16.61 1.2% 16.78 16.10 15.59 9.07 -8.92 -3.73 4.51 19.94 15.4

12、3 9.70 0.9% 17.12 12.55 10.67 4.38 -5.09 -0.62 7.26 11.37 4.11 1.13 31.4% 15.20 11.10 9.12 5.35 -1.07 1.30 6.72 8.68 1.96 -1.56 9.1% 12.94 7.03 5.89 3.60 -4.45 0.06 7.80 8.66 0.86 -1.58 10.1% 14.30 13.59 9.32 4.74 -0.74 3.23 14.65 9.33 -5.32 -0.91 8.1% 14.81 10.89 8.76 5.83 -1.21 1.92 5.70 11.46 5.7

13、6 1.22 6.8% 7.75 10.17 8.47 6.03 -3.50 -2.51 -0.93 2.36 3.29 -7.88 3.2% 15.36 12.55 10.62 7.45 -1.70 2.44 12.10 11.12 -0.98 0.88 3.2% 16.58 19.91 16.79 10.43 -4.33 3.81 20.97 24.14 3.17 13.90 2.2% 13.89 11.02 8.73 5.34 -2.22 1.37 8.61 9.72 1.11 -0.52 42.6% 11.08 10.18 7.50 2.39 2.97 4.02 2.52 8.82 6

14、.30 -1.42 3.6% 12.73 14.08 11.77 6.65 -2.53 1.67 11.30 3.45 -7.85 -6.79 3.1% 14.48 7.84 7.70 1.69 3.66 6.63 13.26 14.63 1.37 4.39 2.8% 2009 1 9 2009 10 16 3 % 07A 08H1 08Q1-3 08A 09H1 09Q1-3 09M8 09M9 15.04 16.53 14.58 11.04 5.90 7.57 11.05 10.18 -0.87 -0.06 2.6% 9.07 7.23 4.30 2.96 2.84 5.25 11.54

15、10.03 -1.51 -0.21 2.0% 12.42 12.14 12.86 8.34 -3.24 -1.27 -3.08 5.41 8.49 -4.83 2.0% 4.52 8.14 7.91 5.97 -0.75 0.25 3.63 4.84 1.21 -5.40 1.9% 12.17 12.55 10.88 7.60 -2.41 -0.87 3.24 5.12 1.88 -5.12 1.4% 14.60 11.18 9.41 6.50 4.97 7.95 14.13 15.76 1.63 5.52 1.7% 13.44 10.56 7.23 3.95 -1.12 2.03 10.31

16、 10.34 0.03 0.10 1.5% 9.83 13.17 11.44 7.63 -0.29 5.11 13.70 15.31 1.61 5.07 1.5% 15.96 19.70 19.80 15.98 6.70 9.90 14.94 20.48 5.54 10.24 1.5% 14.94 10.47 8.89 9.40 5.97 7.87 11.57 9.52 -2.05 -0.72 0.4% 12.03 11.60 10.04 6.33 1.45 4.02 8.70 9.80 1.10 -0.44 25.9% 07 65% 9 49,115MW 7,364MW 32,950MW 6

17、7.1% 12,097MW 24.6% 6,000kW 800,180MW 9.2% 08 13.0% 09 8 9.2% 622,030MW 7.2% 08 11.2% 09 8 7.3% 155,510MW 14.1% 08 18.6% 09 8 17.3% 9,080MW 9 3,352 283 7.8% 3,515 284 -7.5% 6.5% 180 6.3% 08 23% 5 09M19 3,352 3,515 2,671 -6.3% -7.5% -7.8% 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 -12.0% -10.0%

18、-8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 6 08 09 -3.0% 1.3% -3.4% -5.1% 2.0% -10.6% -10.5% -3.6% -13.9% -23.1% -20.0% -15.5% -12.5% -12.4% -14.0% -3.2% 1.2% -0.5% 6.5% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 08M1- 2 08M4 08M6 08M8 08M10 08M12 09M3 09M5 09M7 09M9 4 09M1 9 09M1-9 08M1-9 09M1-9 08M1-9 3,335 3,018 10.5%

19、2,860 2,496 14.6% 4.0% 9.6% 0.7% 3,201 3,339 -4.1% 3,614 3,240 11.5% 7.3% 25.9% 6.7% 3,441 3,555 -3.2% 3,928 3,801 3.4% 3.7% 10.3% 0.9% 3,968 3,949 0.5% 4,046 3,959 2.2% 1.3% -3.0% -2.5% 2,828 2,856 -1.0% 2,916 2,935 -0.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 3,615 3,717 -2.7% 3,701 3,797 -2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 4.0% 2,932 3,234

20、 -9.3% 3,219 3,323 -3.1% 5.1% 8.5% 3.1% 3,718 3,983 -6.7% 3,963 4,096 -3.2% 6.4% 12.7% 8.0% 2009 1 9 2009 10 16 4 09M1-9 08M1-9 09M1-9 08M1-9 3,238 3,434 -5.7% 3,042 3,170 -4.0% 1.7% 3.0% 2.0% 2,934 3,095 -5.2% 3,243 3,383 -4.1% 8.0% 5.6% 6.2% 3,716 3,942 -5.7% 3,716 3,942 -5.7% 2.0% 15.7% 15.7% 3,4

21、47 3,674 -6.2% 3,424 3,635 -5.8% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 3,352 3,579 -6.3% 3,557 3,836 -7.3% 1.9% 7.1% 7.3% 3,352 3,634 -7.8% 3,515 3,799 -7.5% 1.4% 9.2% 7.5% 3,711 4,125 -10.0% 3,968 4,309 -7.9% -0.7% 13.3% 11.3% 2,976 3,232 -7.9% 3,549 3,881 -8.6% 5.3% -3.1% -5.2% 3,086 3,488 -11.5% 3,564 3,931 -9.3% 2.4%

22、18.9% 22.9% 3,166 3,593 -11.9% 3,336 3,708 -10.0% -4.9% 11.3% 7.1% 3,085 3,200 -3.6% 3,487 3,886 -10.3% -3.7% 19.0% 0.7% 3,584 4,077 -12.1% 3,653 4,112 -11.2% -10.0% 12.2% 9.6% 3,340 3,784 -11.7% 3,345 3,771 -11.3% -2.5% 1.2% 2.8% 3,617 4,068 -11.1% 3,933 4,465 -11.9% 9.9% 14.5% 14.9% 3,197 3,632 -1

23、2.0% 3,268 3,724 -12.2% -0.6% 8.0% 7.8% 2,975 3,308 -10.1% 3,136 3,637 -13.8% 7.9% 16.2% 15.0% 2,942 3,406 -13.6% 3,093 3,599 -14.1% 0.3% 7.2% 5.6% 3,532 4,075 -13.3% 3,645 4,278 -14.8% 7.6% 20.6% 21.6% 2,674 3,095 -13.6% 2,246 2,687 -16.4% 3.8% 12.4% 4.8% 2,797 3,301 -15.3% 3,665 4,564 -19.7% -0.9%

24、 20.3% 24.6% 3,019 3,768 -19.9% 3,039 3,978 -23.6% -1.3% 30.5% 34.3% 3,570 4,693 -23.9% 3,704 4,959 -25.3% -8.6% 17.9% 19.3% 3,115 3,862 -19.3% 3,154 4,326 -27.1% -2.9% 13.8% 21.1% 3 3 6 5 08 09 08-09 09 08Q1 08Q2 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09 M1-9 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q2 09Q3 -11.8% -3.8% -21.4% -37.5% -

25、6.7% -34.1% 42.4% -0.6% 312 222 439 -28.9% 97.9% -20.0% -30.7% -3.2% -61.1% -47.1% -38.3% 77.5% -16.4% 212 183 354 -13.8% 94.2% -5.7% 1.1% -6.4% -15.1% 7.3% -40.5% 2.4% -8.6% 511 229 444 -55.2% 94.0% -0.5% -6.3% -11.8% -13.4% -10.3% -35.4% 18.7% -10.3% 452 274 437 -39.3% 59.4% 11.1% -2.3% 6.3% -20.6

26、% -26.9% -2.8% 11.1% -5.8% 294 363 485 23.4% 33.6% 9.9% -12.5% -17.3% -35.1% -16.9% -18.7% 33.2% -4.0% 347 288 379 -16.9% 31.3% -8.7% -1.7% -7.0% -21.9% -12.6% -9.1% 8.7% -4.1% 329 331 420 0.6% 26.9% 13.4% 7.1% -3.8% -5.5% -17.8% -22.0% -4.8% -14.8% 389 366 461 -5.9% 25.9% 11.9% 0.5% -9.6% -15.3% -16.6% -12.5% 1.0% -9.3% 378 361 449 -4.5% 24.4% -6.9% 4.7% 4.0% -17.6% -6.6% -14.9% 14.1% -3.1% 391 306 376 -21.8% 22.7% 10.4% -12.0% 0.1% -10.6% -18.3% -5.0% -9.2% -11.3% 372 336 408 -9.7% 21.4% 0.1% -4.5% -3.4% -32.6% -36.0% -28.4% -9.6% -25.3% 383 386 466 0.6% 20.7% -6