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摩根大通 广州地产研究报告 100323.pdf

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1、Asia Pacific Equity Research 22 March 2010 Guangzhou R and (2) no part of any of the research analysts compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. Important Disclosures Client of the Fir

2、m: Guangzhou R price data adjusted for stock splits and dividends.This chart shows J.P. Morgans continuing coverage of this stock; the current analyst may or may not have covered itover the entire period.J.P. Morgan ratings: OW = Overweight, N = Neutral, UW = Underweight.Date Rating Share Price (HK$

3、) Price Target (HK$) 20-Nov-06 OW 14.26 17.00 12-Jan-07 OW 16.00 20.00 22-Apr-07 OW 20.25 25.00 01-Jun-07 OW 19.80 28.00 31-Aug-07 OW 30.75 40.00 26-Nov-07 OW 29.90 47.00 04-Feb-08 OW 23.40 36.00 13-Mar-08 OW 20.50 30.00 28-Jul-08 OW 16.60 22.00 27-Nov-08 OW 3.69 8.50 08-Feb-09 OW 7.54 10.00 25-May-

4、09 OW 14.90 17.00 21-Aug-09 OW 15.14 17.50 Explanation of Equity Research Ratings and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe: J.P. Morgan uses the following rating system: Overweight Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the average total return of the stocks in the analysts

5、 (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. Neutral Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will perform in line with the average total return of the stocks in the analysts (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. Underweight Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stoc

6、k will underperform the average total return of the stocks in the analysts (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. J.P. Morgan Cazenoves UK Small/Mid-Cap dedicated research analysts use the same rating categories; however, each stocks expected total return is compared to the expected total return

7、 of the FTSE All Share Index, not to those analysts coverage universe. A list of these analysts is available on request. The analyst or analysts teams coverage universe is the sector and/or country shown on the cover of each publication. See below for the specific stocks in the certifying analyst(s)

8、 coverage universe. Coverage Universe: Raymond Ngai, CFA: Cheung Kong Holdings (0001.HK), China Overseas Land our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category; and our Underweight rating falls into a sell rating category. Valuation and Risks: Please see the most recent company-specific research

9、report for an analysis of valuation methodology and risks on any securities recommended herein. Research is available at http:/ , or you can contact the analyst named on the front of this note or your J.P. Morgan representative. Analysts Compensation: The equity research analysts responsible for the

10、 preparation of this report receive compensation based upon various factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall firm revenues, which include revenues from, among other business units, Institutional Equities and Investment Banking. Regist

11、ration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of non-US affiliates of JPMSI, are not registered/qualified as research analysts under NASD/NYSE rules, may not be associated persons of JPMSI, and may not be subject to NASD Rule

12、2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account. Other Disclosures J.P. Morgan is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. (JPMSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide. J.P. Morgan

13、 Cazenove is a brand name for equity research produced by J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd.; J.P. Morgan Equities Limited; JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Dubai Branch; and J.P. Morgan Bank International LLC. Options related research: If the information contained herein regards options related research, such i

14、nformation is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the Option Clearing Corporations Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options, please contact your J.P. Morgan Representative or visit the OCCs website at http:/ Legal Entities D

15、isclosures U.S.: JPMSI is a member of NYSE, FINRA and SIPC. J.P. Morgan Futures Inc. is a member of the NFA. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. is a member of FDIC and is authorized and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority. U.K.: J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. (JPMSL) is a member of the Londo

16、n Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Registered in England for securities where the holding is 1% or greater, the specific holding is disclosed in the Important Disclosures section above. India: For private circulation only, not for sale. Pakistan: Fo

17、r private circulation only, not for sale. New Zealand: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in New Zealand only to persons whose principal business is the investment of money or who, in the course of and for the purposes of their business, habitually invest money. JPMSAL does not issue

18、or distribute this material to members of “the public“ as determined in accordance with section 3 of the Securities Act 1978. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or outside New Zealand without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. Canada: The information contained

19、 herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the

20、securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or, alternatively, pursuant to an exemption from the dealer

21、 registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To

22、the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission or simila

23、r regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein, and any representation to the contrary is an offence. Dubai: This report has been issued to persons regarded as profess

24、ional clients as defined under the DFSA rules. General: Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively J.P. Morgan) do not warrant its completeness or ac

25、curacy except with respect to any disclosures relative to JPMSI and/or its affiliates and the analysts involvement with the issuer that is the subject of the research. All pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute ou

26、r judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not ta

27、ke into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financia

28、l instruments mentioned herein. JPMSI distributes in the U.S. research published by non-U.S. affiliates and accepts responsibility for its contents. Periodic updates may be provided on companies/industries based on company specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other public

29、ly available information. Clients should contact analysts and execute transactions through a J.P. Morgan subsidiary or affiliate in their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise. “Other Disclosures” last revised March 1, 2010. Copyright 2010 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. 9 Asia Pacific Equity Research 22 March 2010Raymond Ngai, CFA (852) 2800-8527

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