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摩根大通 中国有色金属行业研究简报 2010-10.pdf

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1、Asia Pacific Equity Research 18 October 2010 China Metals LME Week Take-aways China Metals and (2) no part of any of the research analysts compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. Imp

2、ortant Disclosures Client of the Firm: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited is or was in the past 12 months a client of JPM. Aluminum Corporation of China Limited - A is or was in the past 12 months a client of JPM. 011223344Price(HK$)Oct06Jul07Apr08Jan09Oct09Jul10Aluminum Corporation of China Limi

3、ted (2600.HK) Price ChartOW HK$8.7N HK$8.2 OW HK$12 N HK$7.6N HK$7.4 N HK$13.7OW HK$24 OW HK$16N HK$5.2 N HK$7Source: Bloomberg and J.P. Morgan; price data adjusted for stock splits and dividends.Break in coverage May 10, 2004 - Aug 11, 2004. This chart shows J.P. Morgans continuing coverage of this

4、 stock; thecurrent analyst may or may not have covered it over the entire period.J.P. Morgan ratings: OW = Overweight, N = Neutral, UW = Underweight.Date Rating Share Price (HK$) Price Target (HK$) 04-Jan-07 N 7.67 7.40 12-Mar-07 N 7.90 8.20 23-Aug-07 N 15.54 13.70 07-Dec-07 OW 18.42 24.00 11-Jul-08

5、 OW 9.36 16.00 03-Sep-08 OW 6.90 12.00 27-Oct-08 OW 2.17 8.70 31-Oct-08 N 2.85 5.20 24-Aug-10 N 6.55 7.00 08-Oct-10 N 7.60 7.60 3 Asia Pacific Equity Research 18 October 2010Nathan M. Zibilich, CFA (852) 2800 8570 020406080100Price(Rmb)Aug07Nov07Feb08May08Aug08Nov08Feb09May09Aug09Nov09Feb10May10Aug

6、10Nov10Aluminum Corporation of China Limited - A (601600.SS) Price ChartN Rmb11.8N Rmb11Source: Bloomberg and J.P. Morgan; price data adjusted for stock splits and dividends.Initiated coverage Aug 23, 2010. This chart shows J.P. Morgans continuing coverage of this stock; the current analystmay or ma

7、y not have covered it over the entire period.J.P. Morgan ratings: OW = Overweight, N = Neutral, UW = Underweight.Date Rating Share Price (Rmb) Price Target (Rmb) 24-Aug-10 N 10.27 11.00 08-Oct-10 N 11.32 11.80 Explanation of Equity Research Ratings and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe: J.P. Morgan uses

8、the following rating system: Overweight Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the average total return of the stocks in the analysts (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. Neutral Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will perform in line wit

9、h the average total return of the stocks in the analysts (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. Underweight Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will underperform the average total return of the stocks in the analysts (or the analysts teams) coverage universe. J.P. Morgan Caz

10、enoves UK Small/Mid-Cap dedicated research analysts use the same rating categories; however, each stocks expected total return is compared to the expected total return of the FTSE All Share Index, not to those analysts coverage universe. A list of these analysts is available on request. The analyst

11、or analysts teams coverage universe is the sector and/or country shown on the cover of each publication. See below for the specific stocks in the certifying analyst(s) coverage universe. Coverage Universe: Nathan M. Zibilich, CFA: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (2600.HK), Aluminum Corporation

12、 of China Limited - A (601600.SS), Angang Steel Company Limited - A (000898.SZ), Angang Steel Company Limited - H (0347.HK), Baoshan Iron our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category; and our Underweight rating falls into a sell rating category. Valuation and Risks: Please see the most recen

13、t company-specific research report for an analysis of valuation methodology and risks on any securities recommended herein. Research is available at http:/ , or you can contact the analyst named on the front of this note or your J.P. Morgan representative. 4 Asia Pacific Equity Research 18 October 2

14、010Nathan M. Zibilich, CFA (852) 2800 8570 Analysts Compensation: The equity research analysts responsible for the preparation of this report receive compensation based upon various factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall firm reven

15、ues, which include revenues from, among other business units, Institutional Equities and Investment Banking. Registration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of non-US affiliates of JPMS, are not registered/qualified as res

16、earch analysts under FINRA/NYSE rules, may not be associated persons of JPMS, and may not be subject to FINRA Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account. Other Disclosures J.P. Morga

17、n (“JPM“) is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (“JPMS“) and its affiliates worldwide. J.P. Morgan Cazenove is a marketing name for the U.K. investment banking businesses and EMEA cash equities and equity research businesses of JPMorgan Chase for securities where the holding is 1%

18、or greater, the specific holding is disclosed in the Important Disclosures section above. India: For private circulation only, not for sale. Pakistan: For private circulation only, not for sale. New Zealand: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in New Zealand only to persons whose princ

19、ipal business is the investment of money or who, in the course of and for the purposes of their business, habitually invest money. JPMSAL does not issue or distribute this material to members of “the public“ as determined in accordance with section 3 of the Securities Act 1978. The recipient of this

20、 material must not distribute it to any third party or outside New Zealand without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. Canada: The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities de

21、scribed herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian se

22、curities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or, alternatively, pursuant to an exemption from the dealer registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is

23、under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a p

24、rovince or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of

25、 the securities described herein, and any representation to the contrary is an offence. Dubai: This report has been issued to persons regarded as professional clients as defined under the DFSA rules. General: Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from source

26、s believed to be reliable but JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively J.P. Morgan) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to JPMS and/or its affiliates and the analysts involvement with the issuer that is the subje

27、ct of the research. All pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This mate

28、rial is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial in

29、struments or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. JPMS distributes in the U.S. research published by non-U.S. affiliates and accepts responsibility for its contents.

30、Periodic updates may be provided on companies/industries based on company specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. Clients should contact analysts and execute transactions through a J.P. Morgan subsidiary or affiliate in their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise. “Other Disclosures” last revised September 1, 2010. Copyright 2010 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan.#$J&098$#*P

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