1、可持續發展委員會Council for Sustainable Development,為可持續發展提升人口潛能“Enhancing Population Potential for a Sustainable Future”,誠邀回應文件Invitation and Response Document,為可持續發展提升人口潛能Enhancing Population Potential for a Sustainable Future可持續發展著重經濟發展、社會融和，以及環境保護這三大可持續發展支柱的平衡和融合。 “Sustainable Development” emphasizes th
2、e balance and integration of the three sustainability pillars of economic development, social harmony and environmental protection.誠邀回應文件 Invitation and Response document-探討香港可持續發展人口政策的方案Explore options for a sustainable population for HK-考慮經濟、 社會及環境三方面的因素Consider factors from economic, social and e
3、nvironmental perspectives,香港人口趨勢Hong Kong Population Trends過去數十年，香港人口隨著經濟同步增長In the past decades, Hong Kongs economic development was accompanied by population growth.人口增長趨勢現已放緩The population growth trend is now slowing down.,香港人口金字塔 Hong Kong Population Pyramid,年齡組別,男姓Male,女姓Female,千人,千人,千人,女姓Femal
4、e,男姓Male,女姓Female,男姓Male,年齡組別,年齡組別,1961,2033,2005,香港人口趨勢(續)Hong Kong Population Trends(Contd)偏低的人口增長率Low population growth rate預計未來每年平均增長0.7%，至2033年達838萬人口。 Projected to increase at an average rate of 0.7% to 8.38 million in 2033.,2.生育Fertility -預計性別失衡Projected gender imbalance性別比率 (男性數目相對每 1 000 名女
5、性）Sex ratio (number of males per 1 000 females) :979 (2005) 749 (2033) -生育率下降Declining fertility總和生育率 (每名女性）Total fertility rate (per woman) :3 (1970s) 1 (0.966) (2005),3.高預期壽命及人口高齡化Long life expectancy and Ageing population -出生時平均預期壽命Expectation of life at birth :1983 2005 2033男性 Male72.3 78.8 82.5
6、女生 Female78.4 84.4 88.0 -人口高齡化 Ageing of the population長者人口百分比Population of the elderly (65+) :3.2% (1961) 12.1% (2005) 26.8% (2033),3. 高預期壽命及人口高齡化 (續)Long life expectancy and Ageing population (Cont)撫養比率(相對每 1 000名 15-64歲人士）Dependency ratios (per 1 000 persons aged 15-64) : 200120052033少年兒童 child (
7、15)227 197 171老年 elderly (65+)155 164 428 總計Overall382 361 598,4. 受供養人口 Dependency -如以總撫養比率為400作為準則去界定人口窗口( 即2名受供養人士相對5名非受供養人士 )，該窗口則會在1997-2019年間出現If we define the “demographic window” by setting a cut-off point of 400 for the overall dependency ratio (i.e. 2 dependents to 5 independents), we will
8、then have a demographic window from 1997 to 2019,人口窗口 Demographic Window,1973至2033年的總撫養比率,年,總撫養比率,經濟角度 Economic Perspective預期勞動人口減少和人口高齡化Envisage a shrinking labour force and ageing population(1)提升勞動人口的工作能力Enhancing the capacity of the labour force(2)開拓潛在的人力資源Unleashing hidden human capital(3)吸引人才 A
9、ttracting talent,社會角度 Social Perspective回應社會各界人士的需要，讓他們的精力和經驗得以妥善運用Addressing the social needs of different sectors of the community, so that their energy and experience are properly channeled to the benefit of our society(1)推廣更健康的生活方式Promoting healthier lifestyle- 生活質素 Quality of life- 平衡工作與生活 Work
10、-life balance- 家庭的重要性 Importance of family- 靈活人生 Flexible life horizon,社會角度 Social Perspective (Contd)(2)提供具吸引力的社會環境Providing an attractive social environment- 以社會為本的移民政策 Socially-oriented immigration policy- 多元文化和種族共融 Cultural diversity and ethnic inclusiveness,環境角度 Environmental Perspective(1)保護我們
11、有限的天然資源Preserving our limited resources(2)締造一個具吸引力的生活環境Creating an attractive living environment(3)為所有人士提供一個方便易達的環境Building an accessible environment for all,邀請社會人士回應 Inviting Responses from the Community,生活質素 Quality of Life(1)對香港生活質素的滿意程度？如何改善？How satisfied with the quality of life in Hong Kong? H
12、ow to improve?(2)有意見認為在人口增長放緩的情況下， 應考慮改善生活質素， 而非增加人口 。你的意見？ Some suggested that instead of increasing the population, we should enhance the quality of life of the population, amidst a slower population growth rate. Your views?,邀請社會人士回應 Inviting Responses from the Community (Contd),家庭與社會需要 Family and
13、 Social Needs(3)影響你生育決定的因素？ 有哪些有效的鼓勵措施？ Factors affecting your childbearing decision? Any effective incentives?(4)是否需要推廣家庭的重要性和生兒育女的無形益處？Need to promote the importance of family and the intangible benefits associated with parenthood?,邀請社會人士回應 Inviting Responses from the Community (Contd),家庭與社會需要 (續)
14、 Family and Social Needs (Contd)(5)方便照顧家庭的工作環境和平衡工作與生活的文化會提升還是妨礙香港的經濟競爭力？Family-friendly working environment and work-life balance culture would enhance or impair Hong Kongs economic competitiveness? How to promote such an environment?(6)愈來愈多獨居人士(包括長者和年青成年人) ，他們家庭網絡薄弱。 如何配合他們的社會需要？Increasing number
15、of singleton households (including old people and young adults) who have minimal family network. How to addresstheir social needs?,邀請社會人士回應 Inviting Responses from the Community (Contd),人口高齡化和退休 Ageing and Retirement(7)希望如何享受晚年生活？ How to enjoy your elderly life?(8)是否需要提倡延長工作年期或提高退休年齡？ Need to advoca
16、te extending the working life or raising the retirement age?是否贊同靈活人生的概念 ，讓個人選擇其人生模式？Agree with the notion “Flexible life horizon”, so that each individual can choose his or her own life pattern?,培育、吸引和挽留人才 Nurturing, Attraction and Retention of Talent(10)應著重培育本地人才和吸引海外留學的香港學生回流，還是專注吸引內地和海外人才？ Emphas
17、ize nurturing local talent and attracting overseas trained Hong Kong students, or focus on attracting talent from the Mainland and abroad?(11)如何促進香港成為人才匯聚的地方？ How to promote Hong Kong as a hubfor talent?,邀請社會人士回應 Inviting Responses from the Community (Contd),人口政策影響經濟政策 Population policy affects econ
18、omic policies產業及市場政策，就業政策Policies on industries and market, employment policy稅收及公共開支政策 Tax and public expenditure policies人材政策，為經濟効力的入境政策Manpower policy, an economic-oriented immigration policy,總結 Concluding remarks,人口政策影響社會政策 Population policy affects social policies家庭政策Policy on family福利政策Welfare
19、policies促進社會共融的入境政策A socially-oriented immigration policy,總結 Concluding remarks (Contd),人口政策影響環保政策 Population policy affects economic policies基建政策: 仍然大興土木，抑或不再以發展為主?Infrastructure policy: a slowing down of development-oriented approach?“生活產業”政策? A policy on “Quality of life” industries ?,總結 Concluding remarks (Contd),期待你的參與 Looking Forward to Your Participation -歡迎大家於2006年10月31日或之前發表意見 Welcome comments by 31 October 2006 -可持續發展策略網站 Sustainable Development Strategy website :www.susdev.org.hk,謝謝Thank you,
