1、11.The argument overlooks the strong possibility that the recycling habits of West Egg residents are not the only factor affecting how quickly the landfill will reach capacity. Other such factors might include population and demographic shifts, the habits of people from outside West Egg whose trash
2、also feeds the landfill, and the availability of alternative disposal methods such as burning. Thus, regardless of the recycling efforts West Egg residents the landfill might nevertheless reach full capacity by the date originally forecast. 18.The argument assumes that all other factors affecting hi
3、ghway accident rates have remained unchanged since the county lowered its speed limit. Yet the author fails to provide evidence to support this assumption. It is entirely possible that the lower speed limit does in fact serve to reduce the accident rate, while some other factor, such as unseasonably
4、 poor weather, reduced law enforcement measures, or even an influx of teenage drivers to the area, has served to increase the accident rate. Without considering and ruling out these and other factors that might have served to increase the accident rate since the speed limit was lowered, the author c
5、annot justifiably conclude that this safety effort has failed.19.The manager also overlooks the possibility that one or more factors other than Ad Libs efforts or DRs popularity were instead responsible for the Megalopolis success. For instance, perhaps DR shared the bill at the concert with another
6、 band, whose appearance was the actual reason for the concerts success. If so, this fact would seriously weaken the managers claim that the Megalopolis success is attributable to Ad Libs efforts and to DRs popularity in Megalopoliswhether or not that popularity resulted form Ad Libs campaign.150.Eve
7、n if I concede that the introduction of trout was not the cause of Yosemites amphibian decline, the author provides no evidence that the decline was caused by pollutionrather than some other phenomenon. Perhaps some other environmental factor was instead the cause. Without ruling out all other possi
8、ble explanations the author cannot convince me that pollution is the cause of the worldwide amphibian declineor even the decline in Yosemite alone.156.Even if Megas attendees are involved in sales and customer relations, the ad unfarily assumes that the improvement in Megas sales must be attribute t
9、o the seminar. Perhaps the improvement in sales was the result of increasing product demand, new pricing policies, decreased competition, or any one of a myriad of other possible developments. For that matter, perhaps Megas new employees as a group already possessed exceptional interpersonal skills,
10、 and therefore Megas sales and customer relations would have improved during the ensuring months regardless of the seminar. Since the ad fails to consider and rule out these and other alternative explanations for the improvements at Mega, I find the ads claim that the Dickens seminar should receive
11、credit unconvincing.160.A third problem with the argument is that it assumes that learning and memory are the only significant factors affecting performance in school. Common sense and experience tell us this is not the case, and a variety of other factors, such as motivation and natural ability, al
12、so play major roles. Thus, the compounds might very well turn out to be largely ineffective.162.The argument assumes that the difference in soy consumption is the only possible explanation for this disparity in the occurrence of fatigue and depression. Yet the argument fails to substantiate this ass
13、umption. Common sense informs me that any one of a myriad of other differencesenvironmental, dietary, and geneticmight explain why North Americans suffer from these problems to a greater extent than Asian do. Without considering and ruling out alternative reasons for this disparity, the arguments co
14、nclusion that soy is the key to the disparity is indefensible.168.The argument also overlooks many other possible explanations for the comparatively low incidence of hip fractures among this group of women. For example, perhaps these women were more physically fit than average to begin with. Or perh
15、aps the nursing homes where the group resided provided special safeguards against accidental injuries that are not ordinarily for most elderly people. Or perhaps French people are less susceptible to bone loss than other people aredue perhaps to cultural dietary habits or genetic predisposition. For
16、 that matter, perhaps women are genetically less disposed to lose bone mass than men are. Any of these scenarios, if ture, would undermine the conclusion that the lower incidence of hip fractures was attribute to the additional vitamin D and calcium.221.A third problem with the argument is that it u
17、nfairly infers that the proposed course of cation is the only means of achieving the desired result. The letters author overlooks other possible means of ensuring that social-science students find immediate employmentsuch as co-op programs, job seminars, and so forth. Without ruling out alternative
18、means of achieving the same goal, the author cannot convince me that the proposed course of action is needed.224.The authors conclusion that Riedeburg is “the best-qualified candidate” raises two problems in itself. First, regardless of Riedeburgs record as governor it is entirely possible that one
19、or more other candidates are actually better qualified. Second, the letter fails to adequately define what makes a candidate for state governor qualified. Without indicating what the ideal qualifications would be and ruling out the possibility that another candidate better meets these qualifications
20、, the author cannot make a convincing case that Riedeburg is the best-qualified candidate.236.The article fails to consider any other course of action that might help Beauville attain the same economic goals. Perhaps by improving its schools or hospitals, or by reducing it crime rate, Beauville can just as quickly and effectively attract new businesses and achieve its economic objectives. In short, without weighing the proposal against alternatives, the articles claim that the proposed incentives are the “best” means of achieving Beauvilles objectives is wholly unconvinving.
