1、Problem A: Managing The Zambezi RiverThe Kariba Dam on the Zambezi River is one of the larger dams in Africa. Itsconstruction was controversial, and a 2015 report by the Institute of Risk Management of South Africa included a warning that the dam is in dire need of maintenance. A number of options a
2、re available to the Zambezi River Authority (ZRA) that might address the situation. Three options in particular are of interest to ZRA:(Option 1) Repairing the existing Kariba Dam(Option 2) Rebuilding the existing Kariba Dam, or(Option 3) Removing the Kariba Dam and replacing it with a series of ten
3、 to twenty smaller dams along the Zambezi River.There are two main requirements for this problem:Requirement 1 ZRA management requires a brief assessment of the threeoptions listed, with sufficient detail to provide an overview of potential costs andbenefits associated with each option. This require
4、ment should not exceed twopages in length, and must be provided in addition to your main report.Requirement 2 Provide a detailed analysis of Option (3) - removing the KaribaDam and replacing it with a series of ten to twenty smaller dams along theZambezi river. This new system of dams should have th
5、e same overall watermanagement capabilities as the existing Kariba Dam while providing the same orgreater levels of protection and water management options for Lake Kariba thatare in place with the existing dam. Your analysis must support a recommendationas to the number and placement of the new dam
6、s along the Zambezi River.In your report for Requirement 2, you should include a strategy for modulating the water flow through your new multiple dam system that provides a reasonable balancebetween safety and costs. In addition to addressing known or predicted normal watercycles, your strategy shou
7、ld provide guidance to the ZRA managers that explains andjustifies the actions that should be taken to properly handle emergency water flowsituations (i.e. flooding and/or prolonged low water conditions). Your strategy shouldprovide specific guidance for extreme water flows ranging from maximum expe
8、cteddischarges to minimum expected discharges. Finally, your recommended strategyshould include information addressing any restrictions regarding the locations andlengths of time that different areas of the Zambezi River should be exposed to the most detrimental effects of the extreme conditions.You
9、r MCM submission should consist of three elements: a standard 1 page MCMSummary Sheet, a 1-2 page brief assessment report (Requirement 1), and your mainMCM solution (Requirement 2) not to exceed 20 pages for a maximum submission of23 pages. Note: Any appendices or reference pages you include will no
10、t count towardsthe 23 page limit.问题 A：管理赞比西河赞比西河上的卡里巴水坝是非洲较大的水坝之一。它的建设是有争议的，南非风险管理研究所的一份 2015 年报告包括一个警告，大坝是急需维护。赞比西河管理局（ZRA）可提供若干选择，以解决这一问题。 ZRA 特别感兴趣的有三个选项：（选项 1）修复现有的 Kariba 水坝（选项 2）重建现有的卡里巴大坝，或（选项 3）拆除卡里巴水坝，并用赞比西河沿岸一系列十到二十个较小的水坝替换。这个问题有两个主要要求：要求 1 ZRA 管理需要对三者进行简要评估选项，并提供足够的详细信息以提供潜在成本的概述与每个选项相关的好
11、处。这个要求不应超过两个页面长度，除了主要报告之外，还必须提供。要求 2 详细分析选项（3） -拆除卡里巴水坝，并用一系列十到二十个沿着赞比西河较小的水坝替换它。这个新的水坝系统应该具有相同的总水量管理能力作为现有的 Kariba 水坝，同时提供相同或更高水平的保护和水管理选项卡拉比湖与现有的水坝。您的分析必须支持建议关于沿赞比西河的新水坝的数量和位置。在您的需求 2 报告中，您应该包括一个策略，用于调节通过您的新多水坝系统的水流量，提供合理的平衡安全和成本之间。除了解决已知或预测的正常水周期，您的策略应为 ZRA 经理提供指导，解释和证明应该采取的行动以正确处理应急水流情况（即洪水和/或延长的低水况） 。你的策略应该为极端水流量从最大预期水平提供具体指导放电至最小预期放电。最后，你的推荐策略应包括解决有关地点的任何限制的信息赞比西河不同地区应受到极端条件最有害影响的时间长度。您的 MCM 提交应包含三个要素：标准的 1 页 MCM摘要表，1-2 页简要评估报告（要求 1）和您的主要MCM 解决方案（要求 2）不超过 20 页，最大提交量为23 页。注意：您添加的任何附录或参考页都不会计入23 页的限制。
