1、 我国现行城市住房政策改革的博弈分析 摘 要 ：本文立足博弈均衡的概念来理解改革过程，回顾中国城市住房政策改革的过程，思考房地产市场政策变化的动因，研究房地产政策实施过程中政府力量与市场自发力量的博弈。分析得出：在现有的土地出让和开发经营制度、本论文由.51lun process basing on the game theory: revies; thinking the causes changes in the real estate market policy; researching on the process of carrying out the policy of the r
2、eal estate market and the strength of the governments oe, thats the four interactive game affection of the central government, local governments and real estate developers, consumer purchases. By analyzing the status of negotiations in the interests of all parties concerned function and simplified g
3、ame structure analysis: the existing land transfer and development of operating systems, performance evaluation system of local government under the condition of constraint. Central government ents seeking to the targets of maximize the economic benefits. In order to keep this balance, the concept b
4、elieves that the local governments need to change the interest function and of the break the interests link structure of local governments and real estate developers. Since the central government has the capacity to do the regulation for its assessing local policy adjustments and the poic . 目 录 摘 要
5、4 Abstract 5 目 录 6 前言 7 一、我国城市住房政策改革的历程和现状 7 （一）我国城市住房政策改革的简要回顾 7 （二）我国房地产市场投资和发展的现状 9 （三）我国城市住房政策改革和房地产市场发展中的误区 10 1、过度赋予住房的经济发展功能，超越了经济发展的阶段 10 2、土地出让制度存在较严重的缺陷 10 3、房地产开发经营体制不合理 11 4、住房改革的产业政策属性和公共政策属性区分不当，基本住房保障严重缺位 11 二、中央政府、地方政府与房地产开发商的博弈分析 12 （一）一个分析框架 12 （二）地方政府的利益函数 13 （三） 从三方博弈到两方博弈的简化 14 （四） 博弈方策略分析 16 （五） 地产“寻租”的实证补充 17 （六） 博弈方策略再分析 18 三结 语 19 致谢 21
