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2017_FRM_Part2_PracticeExam.pdf

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1、FRM Part II Practice Exam2017Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 2017 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals,Inc.TableofContents Introductionto20

2、1 7 FRMPart IIPracticeExam.2 2017FRMPartIIPracticeExam StatisticalReferenceTable.4 2017FRMPartIIPracticeExam SpecialInstructions andDefinitions.5 2017 FRMPartIIPracticeExam CandidateAnswerSheet.6 2017 FRMPart IIPracticeExam Questions.7 2017 FRMPartI IPracticeExam AnswerKey.42 2017 FRMPartIIPracticeE

3、xam Answers&Explanations.43 VER05/1 2/17Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.2 Introduction TheF

4、RMExamisapractice-orientedexamination.Itsquestionsarederivedfromacombinationoftheory,as setforthinthecorereadings,and“real-world”workexperience.Candidatesareexpectedtounderstandriskmanagementconceptsandapproachesandhowtheywouldapplytoariskmanagersday-to-dayactivities.TheFRMExamisalsoacomprehensiveex

5、amin ation,testingariskprofessionalonanumberofriskmanagementconceptsandapproaches.Itisveryrarethatariskmanagerwillbefacedwithanissuethatcanimmediatelybeslottedintoonecategory.Intherealworld,ariskmanagermustbeableto identifyanynumberofrisk-relatedissuesandbeabletodealwiththemeffectively.The2017 FRM P

6、artIandPartIIPracticeExams havebeendevelopedtoaidcandidatesintheirpreparationfortheFRMExaminMayandNovember201 7.ThesePracticeExam sarebasedonasampleofquestionsfrompriorFRMExamsandaresuggestiveofthequestionsthatwil lbeinthe201 7 FRMExam.The2017 FRM PartIPracticeExam contains100multiple-choicequestion

7、sandthe201 7 FRM PartIIPracticeExamcontains80multiple-choicequestions,thesamenumberofquestionsthattheactual201 7 FRMExamPartIand201 7 FRMExamPartIIwillcontain.Assuch,thePracticeExamsweredesignedtoallowcandidatestocalibratetheirpreparednessbothintermsofmaterialandt ime.The2017 FRMPracticeExamsdonotne

8、cessarilycoveralltopicstobetested onthe201 7 FRMExamasanytest willsamplefromtheuniverseoftestablepossibleknowledgepoints.However,thequestionsselectedforinclusioninthePracticeExams werechosentobebroadlyreflectiveofthematerialassignedfor201 7 aswellastorepresentthestyleofquestionthattheFRMCommitteecon

9、sidersappropriatebasedonassignedmaterial.Foracompletelistofcurrenttopics,corereadings,andkeylea rningobjectivescandidatesshouldrefertothe201 7 FRMExamStudyGuideand201 7 FRMLearningObjectives.CorereadingswereselectedbytheFRMCommitteetoassistcandidatesintheirreviewofthesubjectscoveredbytheExam.Questio

10、nsforthe FRMExamarederivedfromthecore readings.ItisstronglysuggestedthatcandidatesstudythesereadingsindepthpriortosittingfortheExam.SuggestedUseofPracticeExams Tomaximizetheeffectivenessofthepracticeexams,candidatesareencoura gedtofollowtheserecommendations:1.Planadateandtimetotakethepracticeexam.Se

11、tdatesappropriatelytogivesufficientstudy/reviewtimeforthepracticeexampriortotheactualexam.2.Simulatethetestenvironmentascloselyaspossible.Takethepracticeexaminaquietplace.Haveonlythepracticeexam,candidateanswersheet,calculator,andwritinginstruments(pencils,erasers)available.Minimizepossibledistracti

12、onsfromotherpeople,cellphones,televisions,etc.;putawayanystudym aterialbeforebeginningthepracticeexam.Allocate4hourstocompleteFRM PartIPracticeExam and4hourstocompleteFRM PartIIPracticeExamandkeeptrackofyourtime.TheactualFRMExamPartIandFRMExamPartIIare4hourseach.Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM

13、)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.3 Completethe entireexamandanswerallquestions.Pointsareawardedforcorrectanswers.Thereisnopenalty

14、ontheFRMExamforanincorrectanswer.FollowtheFRMcalculatorpolicy.Candidatesareonlyallowedtobringcertaintypesofcalculatorsintotheexam room.TheonlycalculatorsauthorizedforuseontheFRMExamin201 7 arelistedbelow,therewillbenoexceptionstothispolicy.Youwillnotbeallowedintotheexamroomwithapersonalcalculatoroth

15、erthanthefollowing:TexasInstrumentsBAIIPlus(includingtheBAIIPlusProfessional),HewlettPackard12C(includingtheHP12CPlatinumandtheAnniversaryEdition),HewlettPackard10BII,HewlettPackard10BII+andHewlettPackard20B.3.AftercompletingtheFRMPracticeExams Calculateyourscorebycomparingyouranswersheetwiththeprac

16、ticeexamanswerkey.UsethepracticeexamAnswersandExplanationstobetterunderstandthecorrectandincorrectanswersandtoidentifytopicsthatrequireadditionalreview.Consultreferencedcorereadi ngstopreparefortheexam.Remember:pass/failstatusfortheactualexamisbasedonthedistributionofscoresfromallcandidates,souseyou

17、rscoresonlytogaugeyourownprogressandlevelofpreparedness.Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.4 F

18、inancial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.5 SpecialInstructionsandDefinitions A.Unlessotherwiseindicat

19、ed,interestratesareassumedtobecontinuouslycompounded.B.Unlessotherwiseindicated,optioncontractsareassumedtobeononeunitoftheunderlyingasset.C.VaR=value-at-risk D.ES=expectedshortfall E.GARCH=generalizedauto-regressiveconditionalheteroskedasticity F.EWMA=exponentiallyweightedmovingaverage G.CAPM=capit

20、alassetpricingmodel H.LIBOR=Londoninterbankofferrate I.OIS=overnightindexedswap J.CDS=credit-default-swap(s)K.CCP=centralc ounterpartyorcentralclearingcounterparty L.MBS=mortgage-backed-security(securities)M.CDO=collateralizeddebtobligation(s)N.ERM=enterpriseriskmanagement O.RAROC=risk-adjustedretur

21、noncapital P.bp(s)=basispoint(s)Q.TheCEO,CFO,CIO,andCROaret hechiefexecutive,financial,investment,andriskofficers,respectively.R.Thefollowingacronymsareusedforselectedcurrencies:Acronym Currency Acronym Currency AUD Australian dollar INR Indian rupee CAD Canadian dollar JPY Japanese yen CNY Chinese

22、yuan MXN Mexican peso EUR euro SGD Singapore dollar GBP British pound sterling USD US dollar Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAs

23、sociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.6 2017FRMPartIPracticeExam CandidateAnswerSheet 1.26.51.76.2.27.52.77.3.28.53.78.4.29.54.79.5.30.55.80.6.31.56.81.7.32.57.82.8.33.58.83.9.34.59.84.10.35.60.85.11.36.61.86.12.37.62.87.13.38.63.88.14.39.64.89.15.40.65.90.16.41.66.91.17.42.67.92.18.43.68.93.19.44.69.94

24、.20.45.70.95.21.46.71.96.22.47.72.97.23.48.73.98.24.49.74.99.25.50.75.100.Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskPro

25、fessionals,Inc.7 1.Aninvestmentbankwithanactivepositionincommodityfuturesisusingthepeaks-over-threshold(POT)methodologyforestimatingVaRandES.Thebanksriskmanagershavesetathresholdlevelof3.00%toevaluateexcesslosses.Thechoiceofthethresho ld,theyargue,issuitableandconsistentwiththefindingthat5.00%oftheo

26、bservationsareinexcessofthethresholdvalue.TheriskmanagershaveconcludedthatthepositionsVaRusingthePOTmeasureis4.45%at99%confidencelevel.TheVaRestima teincorporatesthefollowingassumptionsgeneratedfromthemanagersempiricalanalysis:Parameter Symbol Value Lossthreshold u 3%Numberofobservations N 740 Numbe

27、rofobservationsthatexceedthreshold n 37 Scale 0.75 Shape(tailindex)0.22 GiventheVaRvalueandtheparameterassumptions,whichofthefollowingiscorrect?A.IncreasingthevalueofthetailindexlowersboththeESandtheVaR B.IncreasingthelossthresholdlevelincreasesboththeESandtheVaR C.ThevalueofESis 4.57%D.ThevalueofES

28、is5.71%2.Ariskmanagerisestimatingthemarketriskofaportfoliousingboththenormaldistributionandthelognormaldistributionassumptions.Themanagergathersthefollowingdataontheportfolio:Annualmean:15%Annual volatility:35%Currentportfoliovalue:EUR4,800,000 Tradingdaysinayear:252 Whichofthefollowingstatementsisc

29、orrect?A.Lognormal95%VaRislessthannormal95%VaRatthe1-dayholdingperiodby0.13%B.Lognormal95%VaR islessthannormal95%VaRatthe1-yearholdingperiodby 7.91%C.Lognormal99%VaRislessthannormal99%VaRatthe1-dayholdingperiodby1.43%D.Lognormal99%VaRislessthannormal99%VaRatthe1-yearholdingperiodby13.86%Financial Ri

30、s kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.8 3.Ariskteamatan investmentbankusestheKMVmodeltoestimatethedistancetod

31、efaultandexpecteddefaultfrequencyinevaluatingdefaultconditionsofbothpotentialandexistingclientfirms.OnesuchclientcurrentlyhastotalassetsvaluedatUSD20billion,assetv olatilityof28%perannum,short-termdebtof USD7billion,andlong-termdebtofUSD6billion.Theexpectedreturnonthefirmsassetsis5%peryearandtherisk

32、freerateis1%peryear.Thefirmdoesnotpayanydividends.Theratingscheduleata 1-yearhorizonisshowninthetablebelow:ExpectedDefaultFrequency(EDF)RatingClass 0.02%0.04%AAA 0.04%0.10%AA/A 0.10%0.19%A/BBB+0.19%0.40%BBB+/BBB-0.40%0.72%BBB-/BB 0.72%1.01%BB/BB-Whatisthesuggestedcredit ratingofthefirmata1-yearhoriz

33、onusingtheratingscheduleprovided?A.AA/A B.A/BBB+C.BBB+/BBB-D.BBB-/BB 4.Ariskmanageriscomparingtheuseofparametricandnon-parametricapproachesforcalculatingVaRandisconcernedaboutsomeofthe characteristicspresentinthelossdata.Whichofthefollowingconditionswouldmakenon-parametricapproachesthefavoredmethodt

34、ouse?A.Scarcityofhighmagnitudelossevent B.Skewnessinthedistribution C.Unusuallyhighvolatilityduringthedataperio d D.Unusuallylowvolatilityduringthedataperiod Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducet

35、hismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.9 5.LMTBankhasenteredintoa1-yearCDScontractwithanendowmentfund.Accordingtothecontract,LMTBankwillpaytheendowmentfund75%ofthefacevalueofabondissuedbyGTEChemicalCorporationimmediatelyafteradefaultbyGTECh

36、emical.TopurchasethisCDS,theendowmentfundwillpayLMTBanktheCDSspread,whichisapercentageofthefacevalue,onceattheendoftheyear.LMTBankestimatesthattherisk-neutraldefaultprobabilityforG TEChemicalis6%peryear.Therisk-freerateis3%peryear.Assumingdefaultscanonlyoccurhalfwaythroughtheyearandthattheaccruedpre

37、miumispaidimmediatelyafteradefault,whatistheestimatefortheCDSspread?A.457basispoints B.471basispoints C.468basispoints D.628basispoints 6.Ariskanalystatamid-sizehedgefundisevaluatingthecreditriskofseveraltradepositions.Thehedgefundspecializesincorporatedebtandrunsastrategythatutilizesbothrelativeval

38、ueandlong-onlytradesusingCDSandbonds.OneofthenewtradesatthehedgefundisaB-ratedlongbondvaluedatJPY10billion.Someofthehedgefundsnewestclients,includingtheB-ratedbondholders,arerestrictedfromwithdrawingtheirfundsforfouryears.Th eanalystiscurrentlyevaluatingtheimpactofvariousdefaultscenariostoestimatefu

39、tureassetliquidity.TheanalysthasestimatedthatthemarginalprobabilityofdefaultoftheB-ratedbondis7.7%inYear1;7.1%inYear2;6.6%inYear3;and6.1%inYear4.WhatistheprobabilitythatthebonddefaultsinYear4?A.4.9%B.5.7%C.6.1%D.6.9%Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofR

40、iskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.10 7.MDMBankisseekingtoenhanceitsenterpriseriskmanagementfunction.Inordertoachievethatobjectivethebankintroducesanewdecision-makingprocessbased

41、oneconomiccapitalthatinvolvesassessingsourcesofriskacrossdifferentbusinessunitsand organizationallevels.Whichofthefollowingstatementsregardingthecorrelationsbetweentheserisks iscorrect?A.Correlationsbetweenbusinessunitsareonlyrelevantindecidingtotalfirm-wideeconomiccapitallevelsandarenotrelevantford

42、ecisionsattheindividualbusinessunitorprojectlevel.B.Correlationsbetweenbroadrisktypessuchascredi t,market,andoperationalriskaregenerallywell understoodandareeasytoestimateattheindividualfirmlevel.C.Theintroductionofcorrelationsintofirm-wideriskevaluationwillresultinatotalVaRthat,ingeneral,is greater

43、thanorequaltoth esumofindividualbusinessunitVaRs.D.Theintroductionofcorrelationsintotheriskevaluation ofabanksloanbookwillresultintotalcreditVaRthat,ingeneral,islessthanorequaltothesumofindividualloancreditVaRs.8.Apensionfundhas reportedthatitsassetsandliabilitieswerevaluedatUSD840millionandUSD450mi

44、llion,respectively,atyear-end2015.Theassetswerefullyinvestedinequitiesandcommodities.Thefundsliabilities,constitutedentirelybyfixed-incomeobligation s,hadamodifieddurationof12years.In2016,theglobalslumpincommoditypricesaffectedthepensionfundassets,specificallycausingitsinvestmentinequitiesandcommodi

45、tiestolose30%oftheirmarketvalue.However,thesurprisingmonetarypolicyactionofthegovernmentthatledtotheincreaseininterestrateshadapositiveeffectontheperformanceoffixed-incomesecurities,causingyieldsonthefundsliabilitiestoriseby2.3%.Whatwasthechangeinthepensionfundssurplusin2016?A.USD-325.8million B.USD

46、-127.8million C.USD262.2million D.USD390.0million 9.A wealthmanagementfirmhasa portfolio consistingof USD48million i nvested in USequities and USD 35 million i nvested in emergingmarketsequities.The 1-d ay 95%VaR for eac hin d ivi d ual posi tion is USD 1.2million.The correl ation betw ee n the ret

47、urns of theUSequitiesandemergingmarketsequitiesis 0.36.W hile rebal ancin gtheportfolio,the managerincharge dec i de s to sell USD 8 million of theUSequitiesto buy USD 8 million oftheemergingmarketsequities.Atthesametime,theCROofthe firmadvisestheportfoliomanagertochangetheriskmeasurefrom1-day95%VaR

48、to10-day99%VaR.A ssuming that ret urns are normally d i stri buted and that the rebal ancing d oes not affec t the volatili ty of the in d ivi d ual equitypositions,byhowmuchwilltheportfolioVaRincreaseduetothecombined effec t of portfoliorebalancingandchangeinriskmeasure?A.USD4.529million B.USD6.258

49、million C.USD7.144million D.USD7.223million Financial Ris kManagerExamination(FRM)PartII PracticeExam 201 7 GlobalAssociationofRiskProfessionals.Allrightsreserved.Itisillegaltoreproducethismaterial inanyformatwithoutpriorwrittenapprovalofGARP,GlobalAssociationof RiskProfessionals,Inc.11 10.Theboardo

50、fdirectorsatBankPQPisevaluatingaproposalbyseniormanagementtorestructuretheoperationsofthebank.Ofkeyconcernisthefutureofthebanksconsumerlendingdivision,whichhasaloanportfolioamountingtoEUR180million.Thebankfundsthedivisionpredominantlyusingunstableretailandwholesaledeposits.Inanalyzingthecreditriskco

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