1、 1 弃我去者，昨日之日不可留 乱我心者，今日之日多烦忧 Argument Example 调查 1, Selective sample:样本选择，一部分被排除在外 One major problem is about the sample the author studied in the survey. the author considers only.(selective sub-groups) although (the sub-groups the author studied) do constitute a significant part of (the whole gene
2、ral population), however, (many other sub-groups) are actually excluded from the survey. Perhaps.or.without ruling out all the possibilities above, the author could not make any general conclusion about.merely based on (selective sub-groups). 4， 14， 16， 45， 63， 65， 67， 80， 84， 88， 90， 97， 123， 146，
3、154， 156， 168， 179， 185， 193， 196， 207，227， 231， 232， 236， 238， 239 2, Quantity of the sample 样本数量 ( pointing out that the current sample is too small in its size)(the fact cited by the author) could hardly illustrate the assumption that. because the author provides only N samples of (the general po
4、pulation),however, (the limited sample) might not be representative of the whole general group. thus we cannot accept the authors conclusion that.before he/she could provide more statistic data about (the situation of other sub-groups). 10， 14， 33， 40， 53， 69， 95， 115， 123， 132， 139， 150， 154， 158，
5、167， 179， 180， 188， 191， 239 3, Do the statistics make any difference:调查只调查了部分情况，忽略了一部分 The information provided by the author is insufficient for the author to reach the conclusion. the survey only studies the situation of .(an(some) insignificant case(s), however, many other more essential cases (
6、related to the final conclusion) were ignored in the survey.(we need to know the condition of some other cases about which we care more/ the current case studied in the survey makes little sense on the final conclusion, the author should provide some more important information about the case he stud
7、ied. )Lacking further studies on these important issues, the author could not hastily conclude that.merely based on the insignificant study. 158， 165， 183， 202， 211， 217 17， 115， 147， 220 5, Who conducted the survey:结果扭曲，调查者为了自己的利益 The reliability of the survey is also open to doubt due to the organ
8、ization who conducted the survey. (the organization) has vested interest in the final decision/conclusion which was based on the result of the survey, and thus might distort the actual answers of the respondents. (the institution/individuals may benefit greatly from the result if the result was inte
9、rpreted as was currently ) Thus, the author should cite a survey which is conducted by an independent institution to convince us that (the assumption). 115， 156 6, When was the survey conducted:时间变化 The effectiveness of the result of the survey cited by the author as main evidence is also open to do
10、ubt. The survey was conduct (during a special period, or a long time ago), thus may not reflect the current situations accurately. It is true that ( the survey may reflect the opinions or situations of respondents at the 2 time when it was conducted), but peoples opinion toward (the subject surveyed
11、) may have changed greatly during the past time (or, while this fact could not sufficiently illustrate that (the general group) will also.all the time)(many factors that could influence the validity of the survey will change in the future, or respondents may act differently during the period when th
12、e survey was conducted, thus the result of the survey could not represent the all-time situation. ) Thus, a more recent survey, if a survey is needed at all, should be provided to sufficiently illustrate the authors assumption that. 7, Vague data:数据模糊 没有基数 The information concerning .is not accurate
13、 enough for us to evaluate the actual condition of . The author only informs us that (the percentage/fraction of sub-groups which.but we do not know the base amount of (the general group) (if the base amount or corresponding fractions vary, the conclusion would be different. ) For lack of detailed i
14、nformation about ( the base amount / fraction of) . we can hardly assess . 4， 5， 8， 9， 11， 12， 14， 16， 20， 22， 23， 25， 27， 31， 32， 39， 42， 44， 49， 52， 55， 68， 70， 71， 73， 77，79， 87， 89， 100， 103， 120， 122， 124， 130， 133， 134， 135， 141， 143， 144， 145， 155， 159， 165， 175，177， 182， 183， 189， 194， 196，
15、199， 200， 203， 204， 206， 211， 212， 214， 216， 222， 223， 231， 236， 238 8,Incomplete information:数据不完整 The author does not provide complete information concerning .in illustrating that .The author only informs us that. but what we care more about is that. which is not provided by the author. (some othe
16、r substantial information are needed for us to assess the soundness of the argument, and the conclusion would vary greatly when other conditions varied. ) For lack of detailed information about . we can hardly evaluate . 6， 7， 8， 10， 14， 15， 17， 18， 20， 21， 24， 27， 29， 30， 32， 35， 36， 38， 39， 42， 43
17、， 44， 46， 49， 52，54， 64， 65， 66， 68， 70， 71， 73， 77， 79， 81， 82， 83， 84， 85， 87， 88， 89， 90， 91， 92， 94， 95， 96， 97，98， 99， 100， 103， 104， 105， 107， 108， 116， 117， 119， 120， 127， 130， 135， 137， 141， 143， 144， 145，147， 150， 152， 155， 161， 165， 166， 167， 168， 169， 170， 171， 172， 174， 175， 179， 180， 18
18、1， 183， 184，185， 191， 192， 193， 198， 199， 200， 203， 205， 206， 211， 212， 213， 214， 215， 216， 217， 218， 219， 221，222， 224， 225， 226， 228， 229， 231， 232， 233， 235， 237， 238， 239， 240， 241， 242 9, Are the respondents forthright when answering the questions:回答者不真实 The reliability of the respondents.answe
19、rs to the surveys question is not sufficiently justified to support the conclusion. There is possibility that the respondents may not tell the truth about (answering the questions honestly may lead to some undesirable consequences for the respondents, thus they may evade the crucial point, or even l
20、ie in their answers. ) Under such circumstances, it is almost impossible for us to expect the respondents to provide accurate information about their opinion toward. 92， 199， 211， 242 10, Are the respondents representative:回答者没有代表性 We should also notice that the respondents studied in the survey may
21、 not represent the general group of .We all know that in many cases, people who are interested in .might be generally more likely to respond to the survey than other people are, or are more willing to express their own opinions and positions on the issue of . (other people who did not respond may ho
22、ld a totally different position toward the issue studied, and the author should include those people in the study to present a more convincing result. )Without considering the situation of other groups of people, the result of the survey in itself could not justifiably illustrate that . 11， 15， 17，
23、28， 34， 40， 43， 52， 55， 57， 62， 65， 76， 95， 102， 111， 115， 117， 153， 154， 161， 167， 168，174， 194， 201， 206， 212， 218， 224， 235 3 比较 11, False analogy:错误类比 AB， A 适合 B In the argument the author recommends A to carry out same (policies, actions, solutions on . as B, but the analogy between them might
24、be unsubstantiated. The author fails to illustrate that A and B are similar enough at every aspect and are indeed comparable. While it is true that A and B share some common ground on .there are still some obvious differences between them. (many differences exist between A and B and these difference
25、s may well render the policies(actions, solutions, etc) proved to be effective for A might not have the same effectiveness for B ) Before A decide to copy Bs experiences, the author should take these differences into account and make careful study on the comparability of the two (cities, companies,
26、schools, etc). 2， 4， 9， 12， 13， 16， 18， 20， 25， 26， 28， 29， 31， 35， 38， 39， 41， 42， 43， 44， 55， 56， 67， 72， 89，91， 92， 94， 97， 99， 102， 108， 109， 110， 116， 119， 124， 125， 131， 132， 133， 149， 152， 155， 160， 162，169， 177， 180， 182， 186， 187， 192， 198， 204， 205， 209， 210， 211， 212， 218， 226， 230， 232，
27、235， 236，237， 238， 239 12, Incomplete comparison /selective comparison /ex parte information:错误对比 AB， A 不一定比 B好 The author hastily implies that A is superior to B in . but the comparison between A and B is incomplete. The author only compares . however, there are myriad of factors which, if differ i
28、n these cases, would bring about totally different result for the comparison. (many other factors would influence the result while ignored by the author in the argument ) Without any further consideration about these factors, the author could not convince us that (A is better than B in certain aspec
29、t) merely based on an incomplete comparison. 13, Confusing comparison and variation:只对比了一部分的变化 or vice versa. In the argument the author provides the variation in .to illustrate that .Although the variation in .could partly prove that . however, we all know that to demonstrate .the comparison betwee
30、n A and B is actually more convincing and necessary.: (the comparison between those entities could be more convincing in illustrating the conclusion ) Lacking comparison between . we could not assess if . 23， 48， 63， 85， 106， 132， 135， 168， 173， 179， 180， 186， 188， 206， 216， 224， 240 Incomplete comp
31、arison/exparte information: 2， 4， 17， 24， 34， 49， 51， 57， 60， 63， 64， 77， 81， 82， 85， 93， 96， 98， 101， 103， 105， 109， 114， 126，129， 131， 132， 139， 151， 159， 162， 166， 167， 172， 173， 179， 186， 187， 188， 193， 200， 203， 211， 212，214， 216， 220， 222， 231， 233， 234， 238， 241 14, Unrelated concepts:偷换概念 In
32、 illustrating the assumption that .the author commits a fallacy of hasty generalization.: The author cites A to prove B, however, A is not a good indication of B. (there are basic differences between A and B, thus A could not be properly used to illustrate B ) The author ought to make careful and cl
33、ear differentiation between A and B before we could evaluate if the inference that .is justified. 1， 3， 4， 10， 11， 16， 20， 23， 29， 31， 34， 35， 36， 38， 40， 44， 48， 49， 53， 55， 58， 63， 67， 68， 72，77， 80， 81， 85， 87， 88， 89， 91， 93， 96， 101， 105， 106， 107， 114， 120， 121， 124， 130， 132， 133， 134，139， 14
34、0， 143， 146， 153， 155， 156， 160， 161， 166， 167， 172， 173， 175， 181， 183， 187， 188， 190， 193，194， 196， 198， 199， 200， 201， Hasty generalization: 38， 54， 56， 59， 61， 66， 81， 89， 98， 137， 140， 154 203， 212， 214， 215， 216， 217， 218， 220， 221， 223， 231， 233， 234， 235， 239， 241 15, Changing scopes:偷换范围 Th
35、e fact that .could sufficiently substantiate the conclusion that.since the argument is based only on 4 (some special cases) and the author does not differentiate between the .of (different subjects) .Although the authors inference that .might be true for some cases, for example, .Unfortunately, this
36、 is not true of every individual (in the general group). (other subjects may have totally different situation thus the authors inference could not be properly applied to them. ) Unless the author can demonstrate that (the condition of other subjects is similar to that of the case studied), the gener
37、al conclusion cannot be reached merely basing on these special and limited cases. 3， 6， 8， 10， 19， 22， 23， 28， 29， 40， 41， 44， 45， 49， 51， 60， 70， 80， 83， 84， 87， 90， 91， 93， 94，95， 96， 97， 98， 113， 115， 116， 117， 118， 119， 121， 126， 129， 130， 131， 134， 135， 145， 147， 148， 150，154， 156， 158， 165， 17
38、1， 172， 175， 176， 180， 185， 187， 188， 193， 194， 195， 203， 205， 206， 207， 211，213， 217， 218， 220， 223， 230， 233， 234， 242 16, Inferring a future condition from a past condition:过去不能推未来 In the argument the author suggests that we can (solve current problems or achieve current goals) through methods wh
39、ich have successfully solved the same kind of problems in the past.There is a hidden assumption assumed by the author that all conditions and factors upon which the effectiveness of (the method) depend have remained unchanged during the past (N years).However, many factors could have been changed du
40、ring the past years. (many conditions and factors could have varied, which might render the solutions which were proved to be effective in the past might not have the same effectiveness in current days or in the future. )Without taking into account all these constantly changing factors, the author c
41、ould not convince us that the proposed solution could be used to solve current problems successfully. 1， 2， 4， 5， 8， 11， 13， 15， 18， 20， 21， 22， 23， 25， 30， 32， 36， 37， 48， 52， 61， 62， 65， 67， 68， 73，78， 85， 87， 93， 94， 95， 100， 116， 119， 130， 134， 136， 138， 140， 146， 151， 158， 161， 167， 168， 171，18
42、3， 190， 201， 204， 208， 209， 213， 216， 218， 219， 225， 226， 230， 237， 240， 241 30, Lack of controlled experiment/ comparison:没考虑其他变量 The author unfairly assumes that it is .that resulted in . The causal relationship is convincing only if the author could demonstrate that all other factors that might a
43、ffect .remained constant during the same period.(pointing out that corresponding controlled experiment is needed, or explaining how the experiment should be conducted.) Specifically, we need to know (the experiment result of one group of the subjects), Without appropriate comparison between A and B,
44、 the assumption that .is unwarranted. 18， 23， 41， 59， 75， 76， 85， 103， 122， 128， 153， 167， 168， 175， 176， 180， 206， 207， 224， 236， 237，241， 242 解决办法 17, Sufficiency and necessity of a solution:解决办法不够有力 The author assumes that the proposed actions are both sufficient and necessary for (achieving cert
45、ain goal).To solve the problem successfully, many other fundamental requirements must be fulfilled. (many other important works must be done. ) Furthermore, many other available methods besides (the authors proposal) could also be used to achieve the same purpose. (many other effective methods could
46、 also be adopted. )Before the author make a careful and thorough comparison between the effectiveness of his own proposal and other possible methods, the authors proposal should not be hastily carried out. 3， 7， 8， 9， 10， 12， 18， 19， 20， 24， 25， 26， 28， 30， 39， 41， 42， 43， 48， 52， 54， 59， 60， 64， 65
47、， 68，69， 74， 79， 80， 82， 83， 85， 86， 87， 90， 91， 94， 96， 97， 98， 99， 100， 102， 104， 105， 106， 107， 108，110， 111， 112， 115， 116， 117， 122， 123， 124， 125， 127， 128， 129， 131， 134， 135， 136， 137， 139， 140，141， 145， 146， 147， 149， 152， 153， 155， 157， 159， 161， 162， 163， 164， 166， 168， 169， 170， 172， 173
48、，175， 177， 178， 181， 183， 185， 187， 188， 189， 190， 191， 192， 194， 195， 196， 197， 200， 201， 204， 205，206， 208， 209， 211， 212， 213， 215， 217， 219， 222， 224， 225， 226， 227， 228， 229， 230， 232， 236， 237，238， 239， 240， 242 5 18, Failing to consider the feasibility of the conclusion:解决办法没有可行性 The feasibil
49、ity of the arguers proposal can also be cast doubt on. The proposal relies on an assumption that (the proposal could be successfully carried out)however, the assumption might be unwarranted due to some critical obstacles. (possible obstacles to the effectiveness of the solution. )Unless the author could demonstrate that those obstacles could be effectively overcome, the proposal might be practically unfeasible. 2， 24， 28， 29， 39， 42， 43， 51， 64， 71， 86， 90， 99， 102， 125， 129， 132， 137， 139， 141， 143， 155， 163，164， 169， 172， 175， 176， 178， 187， 189， 191， 194， 195， 204， 208， 209， 21
