1、1. 1.2. 3. ? -4. ?1212345-5. ? ? - 2 123456-6. ?1. A BC D2. A BC D3. - A- BC D4. A BC D-5. A BC D6. A BC D7. A B C D 3 8. A B C D 9. A BC D 10. ABCD 110 BDBDA BBAAD 4 1 10.60.8-0.10.50.4 (0.8)(0.2)(0.6)0.4-,-,(0.1)- 200 -300 -100 -200 -300 -100(0.5)50 50 0 0 -250 0(0.4)150 250 100 200 600 1001-23
2、-E(11)E(12)E(1122)E(1121)2-100121(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-100 100 0(0.2)(0.8)1112(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-200 150 50(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-300 250 50(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-200 200 0(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-300 600 -250(0.1)(0.5)(0.4)-100 100 0(0.4)(0.6)659560853030958563822212 5 0.70.328014010100.50.30.2-1006020254555 -E1E2E0135E0136356-2
3、80-140(0.5)(0.3)(0.2)100 -20 60(0.5)(0.3)(0.2) 25 55 45640037036000.7000.34252-1000210152 6 310A(1) 2860%(2) 2810%(3) 2830%(4) 280%B(1) 10100(2) 1010(3) 1040(4) 45(5) 825(6) 2870285C300 1302220- 1121212120.70.140.70.30.860.860.860.140.14 1 10.3100 810 810 840 870 85 825 840 82869980359-300- 130- 7
4、 E111=10080.86+1080.14=699.2E112=108=80E11=(699.2+1002)0.7+(80+102)0.3-300=359.44E121=408=320E1221=7080.86+580.14-220=267.2E1222=2580.86+4080.14=216.8E122= E1221=267.2E12=(320+402)0.3+(267+452)0.7-130=239.9E1= E11=359.46 -1(A1)2(A2)-0.350.65-8070 0.35 0.65A14522.5A218 4.51- 82G B fg fb P(G)P(G) = 0
5、.35P(B)P(B)=0.65P(fgG)P(fgG)=0.8P(fbG)P(fbG)=0.2 P(fbB)P(fbB)=0.7 P(fgB)P(fgB)=0.3 P(fg) P(fg) = 0.475P(fb) P(fb) =0.525310 0.40.60.80.4*0.6*0.80.1921. 2 3 9 0 0.40 0.60 0.801. 0.20 0.40 0.502. 0.15 0.20 0.302-0.061113 220100120.40.150.20.60.40.20.60.40.60.30.50.80.30.50.80.160.30.480.06IIIIII 11 1. A 62. B 123. C 134. DA 35. EB 66. FD 47. GF 28. H EG59. I CEG1210. J CH1011. K CH912. LJ 813. MK 414. N ILM20(1) (2) (3) (4) 10 12613BEHJLNAOAAON1003694912513162121261818718238232393333103237114141126161ADBCEFHJLMNIKG
